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Cook Political Report shifts 11 more House races toward Democrats amid worsening Republican outlook
Overview
The Cook Political Report has moved 11 more House seats away from Republicans and toward Democrats on the eve of the election, with forecaster Dave Wasserman describing the situation as potentially catastrophic for the GOP. Shifting dynamics include significant polling swings in districts previously won by Donald Trump, economic anxieties in farm country, and early voting trends showing strong Democratic enthusiasm and turnout in states like North Carolina.
Key points
- The Cook Political Report shifted 11 more House races toward Democrats, with eight previously considered solid or likely Republican.
- Forecaster Dave Wasserman noted that polling in some districts won by Donald Trump in 2024 has swung by 15 to 20 points.
- Economic anxieties in farm country, including high diesel prices, interest rates, and trade war fallout, pose significant risks for Republicans.
- Early voting data from North Carolina indicates Democrats are significantly outpacing Republicans in early in-person voting turnout.
- Competitive Senate races in states like Kansas and Minnesota are seeing heavy fundraising and tightening margins, forcing both parties to allocate resources.