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The Iran War and China are destroying gas-powered cars

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Global Gas Car Sales Drop Below 50% as Persian Gulf War and Chinese EV Exports Surge

Overview

For the first time on record, global sales of gas-powered cars have fallen below 50% following fuel price shocks driven by the war on Iran. This energy crisis has turbocharged demand for electric and hybrid vehicles, accelerating Chinese automakers like BYD and Chery years ahead of their export schedules. With higher profit margins abroad and lower tariffs on hybrids in Europe, Chinese brands are rapidly expanding into international markets and challenging legacy automakers.

Key points

  • Global sales of gas-powered cars dropped to 49% in 2026, falling below 50% for the first time.
  • The war on Iran and subsequent fuel price shocks significantly boosted worldwide demand for electric and hybrid vehicles.
  • Chinese electric vehicle exports jumped dramatically, with companies like BYD and Chery greatly surpassing their initial 2026 growth forecasts.
  • Profit margins for Chinese EV makers quadruple outside mainland China, reaching about $3,000 per vehicle.
  • Chinese automakers are now targeting the global hybrid market, aided by lower EU tariffs of around 10% compared to higher tariffs on fully electric vehicles.
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